Question: How does Ivan Vanko know that Tony Stark will be driving at the Monaco Grand Prix, and is therefore open to attack, when Tony himself made that decision at the Grand Prix, like, 5 minutes before the race was to start?
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Chosen answer: He doesn't. All he knows is that Stark will be there. His aim is not necessarily to confront Stark directly, but to humiliate him by attacking the race; showing that Stark's technology is not unique to him, to crack the world's confidence in Stark so that the government will have no choice but to step in to bring him down. Stark choosing to drive the car, thus allowing Vanko to attack him directly, to "make him bleed", as he put it, is merely a very useful bonus.
Tailkinker ★