Continuity mistake: When Nicky and Jess are seated at the small table, the amount of wine in his glass keeps changing up and down.
Focus (2015)
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Directed by: Glenn Ficarra, John Requa
Starring: Will Smith, Margot Robbie, Gerald McRaney, Rodrigo Santoro, BD Wong, Adrian Martinez
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Answer: Absolutely. There are many people (especially people who work on high commissions and con men) who are well practiced in subtle cues with body language. The elaborate process they went through in the movie greatly increased the chances he would make such a pick, but there was no guarantee. However, it was constructed with personal knowledge of the target. Even more strange was the fact that a string of some of his reasonable bets went bad (the missed extra point, the pick of the card, etc). Had they all not gone bad, it would have disrupted his faked desperation to the multi-million dollar bet.